APP Breakdown: Pac 10

We keep going with another APP Breakdown, this time for the Pac 10. I believe the Pac 10 was the 2nd best conference in America, but are poised for a down year in 2008. However, here's the APP Breakdown from 2007.

Total Offense Adjusted Performance Percentage (TOAPP):

1. Oregon 115.9
2. Washington State 112.1
3. Washington 107.1
4. USC 103.3
5. Cal 101.2
6. Arizona State 100.6
7. Arizona 98.7
8. Oregon State 90.7
9. UCLA 90.5
10. Stanford 79.9

I'm surprised ASU ranked so low, barely above average. Outside of Stanford, there were no horrible offenses. Even UCLA, who I thought would have been worse, has a respectable score for 9th place. The Pac 10, who used to be known for ALL offense-NO defense play, had no absolutely outstanding offenses last year. The run/pass scores are below.

Rush Offense Adjusted Performance Percentage (ROAPP):

1. Oregon 148.3
2. Washington 147.2
3. UCLA 116.1
4. Oregon State 114.7
5. USC 109.1
6. Cal 99.6
7. Arizona State 83.1
8. Washington State 71.9
9. Stanford 57.2
10. Arizona 51.1

The Pac 10 had 4 very bad rush offense, though, one of them (Arizona) is understandable due to offensive system. Arizona State was surprisingly low, and will really need to improve that area to stay in the top 3 of the Pac 10.

Pass Offense Adjusted Performance Percentage (POAPP):

1. Washington State 136.1
2. Arizona 127
3. Arizona State 111.5
4. Cal 102.1
5. USC 99.7
6. Oregon 95.9
7. Stanford 93.4
8. Washington 84
9. Oregon State 75.5
10. UCLA 75

So can we officially kill the "PAC 10=PASS PASS PASS ZOMG" theory? Only 4 offenses were any good, and the bottom 3 were awful. USC was right at average, even with a senior QB. Interesting.

Let's go to other side of the LOS.

Total Defense Adjusted Performance Percentage (TDAPP):

1. USC 150.3
2. Oregon State 115.7
3. UCLA 107.2
4. Arizona State 101.8
5. Cal 101.3
6. Arizona 100.9
7. Oregon 99.1
8. Washington State 88.4
9. Stanford 82.7
10. Washington 81.6

See? The Pac 10 was a defense driven conference last year. 6 teams were above average, and Oregon was right there, too. The bottom 3 weren't good, but again, not wretched. Below, as usual, are the run/pass breakouts.

Rush Defense Adjusted Performance Percentage (RDAPP):

1.USC 164.9
2. Oregon State 155.3
3. Arizona State 130.3
4. Oregon 109.2
5. UCLA 108.3
6. Arizona 97.4
7. Cal 90.3
8. Washington State 86.6
9. Stanford 78.1
10. Washington 64

The fact is: if you want to be a player in the Pac 10, stop the run. 5 of the top 6 rush defenses in the Pac 10 made a bowl. The top 4 finishers in the final standings are the top 4 in the standings in RDAPP.

Pass Defense Adjusted Performance Percentage (PDAPP:)

1. USC 142.7
2. Cal 109.5
3. UCLA 106.6
4. Arizona 103.3
5. Oregon State 100.9
6. Washington 96.7
7. Oregon 94.2
8. Arizona State 89.7
9. Washington State 89.6
10. Stanford 85.9

Holy parity! Stanford's 85.9 would be better than last in most conferences. Arizona State's low score has to worry Sun Devil fans going forward. Cal rebounded well from a poor 2006 in pass defense to finish 2nd this past season.

Onto the final standings!

Complete Adjusted Performance Percentage (CAPP)

1. USC 126.8
2. Oregon 107.5
3. Oregon State 103.2
4. Cal 101.3
5. Arizona State 101.2
6. Washington State 100.3
7. Arizona 99.8
8. UCLA 98.9
9. Washington 94.4
10. Stanford 81.3

Using this metric, Arizona State could be in for a couple more losses. They finished 2nd in the Pac 10 standings, but were 5th in CAPP. Cal finished 7th in the Pac 10, but were 4th statistically - they could move up. UCLA finished 5th overall, but 8th in CAPP - regression?